People

Professor Matt Tonkin

Professor of Criminology

School/Department: Criminology, School of

Email: mjt46@leicester.ac.uk

Address: School of Criminology University of Leicester Fielding Johnson Building University Road Leicester LE1 7RH

Profile

I joined the School of Criminology in 2016 having previously worked as a Lecturer and Senior Lecturer in Forensic Psychology at Birmingham City University. Prior to this I worked as a Research Assistant in the Dangerous and Severe Personality Disorder Unit based within Rampton High Secure Forensic Psychiatric Hospital. My academic qualifications include a BSc in Psychology, an MSc in Forensic Psychology and a PhD (on crime linkage) from the University of Leicester.

Research

My research focuses on two main areas:

1) Investigative psychology, serial offending and supporting the detection and prosecution of serial offenders- much of my research is focused on understanding the crime scene behaviour of serial offenders including techniques that use that information to enhance the detection and prosecution of these offenders (e.g. crime linkage offender and geographical profiling). For example I am a founding member of the Crime Linkage International Network (C-LINK) (see: https://www.birmingham.ac.uk/generic/c-link/index.aspx)

2) Prisons and forensic psychiatric hospitals- I also have expertise on prisons and forensic hospitals, including how to create a custodial environment conducive to offender rehabilitation. For example I have developed the Essen Climate Evaluation Schema (EssenCES) which measures the social climate in prisons and forensic hospitals (see: https://www.hogrefe.com/uk/shop/the-essen-climate-evaluation-schema-essences-71103.html) I have received funding from a wide range of sources including the ESRC, British Academy, Leverhulme Trust, Home Office, Ministry of Justice, Scottish Government and British Psychological Society.

Publications

Matt has produced 70+ books, chapters, journal articles and reports. Examples include:

Tonkin, M., Lemeire, J., Woodhams, J., Alrajeh, D., Webb, M., Galambos, S., Smailes, H., & Burrell, A. (2025). Building the statistical evidence base for crime linkage decision-support tools with sexual offences. Journal of Quantitative Criminology.

Ewanation, L., Bennell, C., Tonkin, M., & Santtila, P. (2023). Receiver operating characteristic curves in the crime linkage context: Benefits, limitations, and recommendations. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 37, 1277-1289.

Law, M., Sautory, T., Mitchener, L., Davies, K., Tonkin, M., Woodhams, J., & Alrajeh, D. (2022). Learning to rank the distinctiveness of behaviour in serial offending. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 13416, 484-497.

Tomlin, J., & Tonkin, M. (2022). The EssenCES measure of ward atmosphere: Mokken scaling, confirmatory factor analysis, and investigating patient-level characteristics. International Journal of Forensic Mental Health, 22, 199-209.

Dickens. G. L., Johnson, A., Steel, K., Everett, B., & Tonkin, M. (2022). Interventions to improve social climate in acute mental health inpatient settings: Systematic review exploring content and outcomes. SAGE Open Nursing, 8 (January-December 2022).

Suhomlinova, O., O’Reilly, M., Ayres, T. C., Wertans, E., Tonkin, M. J., & O’Shea, S. C. (2022). ‘Gripping onto the last threads of sanity’: Transgender and non-binary prisoners’ mental health challenges during the Covid-19 pandemic. International Journal of Mental Health, 52, 218-238.

Suhomlinova, O., Ayres, T. C., Tonkin, M. J., O'Reilly, M., Wertans, E., & O'Shea, S. C. (2021). Locked up while locked down: Prisoners' experiences of the COVID-19 pandemic. British Journal of Criminology, 62, 279-298.

Tonkin, M., & Weeks, M. J. (2021). Crime linkage practice in New Zealand. Journal of Criminological Research, Policy and Practice, 7, 63-76.

Burrell, A., & Tonkin, M. (2020). Property crime: Criminological and psychological perspectives. London: Routledge.

Palmer, E. J., Hatcher, R. M., & Tonkin, M. J. (2020). Evaluation of digital technology in prisons. Ministry of Justice Analytical Series, Ministry of Justice, London, UK.

Tonkin, M., Lemeire, J., Santtila, P., & Winter, J. M. (2019). Linking property crime using offender crime scene behaviour: A comparison of methods. Journal of Investigative Psychology and Offender Profiling, 16, 75-90.

Woodhams, J., Tonkin, M., Burrell, A., Imre, H., Winter, J. M., Lam, E. K. M. ... & Santtila, P. (2019). Linking serial sex offences: Moving towards an ecologically valid test of the principles of crime linkage. Legal and Criminological Psychology, 24, 123-140.

Tonkin, M., Pakkanen, T., Siren, J., Bennell, C., Woodhams, J., Burrell, A. ... & Santtila, P. (2017). Using offender crime scene behavior to link stranger sexual assaults: A comparison of three statistical approaches. Journal of Criminal Justice, 50, 19-28.

Tonkin, M., & Woodhams, J. (2017). The feasibility of using crime scene behaviour to detect versatile serial offenders: An empirical test of behavioural consistency, distinctiveness and discrimination accuracy. Legal and Criminological Psychology, 22, 99-115.

Schalast, N., & Tonkin, M. (2016). Essen Climate Evaluation Schema EssenCES: A manual and more. Gottingen: Hogrefe Publishing.

Tonkin, M. (2016). A review of questionnaire measures for assessing the social climate in prisons and forensic psychiatric hospital settings. International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology, 60, 1376-1405.

Supervision

I am happy to accept applications to supervise PhDs on topics relating to:

1) Policing

2) Offender crime scene behaviour

3) Investigative psychology

4) Police decision-making and crime analysis (particularly offender profiling, behavioural investigative advice, geographical profiling and crime linkage)

5) Prisons and forensic psychiatric hospitals

6) Offender rehabilitation and treatment readiness

Teaching

I teach a range of topics across investigative and forensic psychology as well as research methods on our suite of BSc Criminology and BSc Criminology with Forensic Psychology programmes.

Press and media

I am happy to be contacted by journalists in relation to the following topics:

1) Investigative psychology (e.g. crime linkage offender and geographical profiling)

2) Prisons, forensic psychiatric hospitals and offender rehabilitation

Activities

Member of ESRC Peer Review College (since 2024)

‎Editorial Board, Psychology, Crime and Law (since 2020)

‎Member of the Ministry of Justice Expert Network (since 2018)

Founding member of the Crime Linkage International Network (C-LINK) (see: https://www.birmingham.ac.uk/generic/c-link/index.aspx)

Fellow of the Higher Education Academy (since 2014)

‎Editorial Board, Journal of Criminal Psychology (2023-2025)

Member of the Cabinet Office What Works Trial Advice Panel (2020-2022)

Associate Editor, International Journal of Offender Therapy and Comparative Criminology (2019-2025)

‎Member of the Serco Prisons National Research Committee (2013-2019)

Conferences

Matt has delivered 30+ invited talks, keynote presentations and conference presentations at national and international events for a range of academic and non-academic stakeholders. Examples include:

Tonkin, M. & Lemeire, J. (2024). Development and refinement of algorithms for statistical linking. Paper presented at the Centre for Crime, Justice and Policing annual conference.

Tonkin, M. (2023). Rehabilitative culture and change in prisons. The Correctional Services Advice and Accreditation Panel (CSAAP) Online Panel Event.

Tonkin, M. (2023). Using crime linkage to enhance the detection and prosecution of serial offenders. National Analyst’s Conference, Oxford, UK.

Tonkin, M., Alrajeh, D., & Woodhams, J. (2022). Using AI to incorporate context into crime linkage: Considering the context in which suspect behaviour is expressed. Paper presented at the Centre for Crime, Justice and Policing annual conference.

Woodhams, J., Tonkin, M., Alrajeh, D., Burrell, A., Wagner, K., & Hardiman, M. (2022). Adding Crime Linkage Through the Development of a Decision-Support Tool for Analysts. Paper presented at the annual conference of the Society for Police and Criminal Psychology.

Tonkin, M. & Weeks, M. (2021). Exploring crime linkage practice in New Zealand. Paper presented at the 30th conference of the European Association of Psychology and Law, online.

Tonkin, M., Lemeire, J., & Weeks, M. (2021). Developing and testing crime linkage algorithms with residential burglaries in New Zealand. Paper presented at the 30th conference of the European Association of Psychology and Law, online.

Tonkin, M. (2019). Crime linkage: Research and Practice. New Zealand Police National Intelligence Centre and Evidence Based Policing Centre, Wellington, New Zealand.

Tonkin, M., & Woodhams, J. (2019). Crime linkage: Findings, implications and uses. National UK Crime Analysts’ Working Group, Birmingham, UK.

Tonkin, M. (2018). The Crime Linkage International NetworK (C-LINK): Findings. Paper presented at the 28th conference of the European Association of Psychology and Law, Turku, Finland.

Tonkin, M. (2017). How can behavioural science contribute to the investigation of serial offenders? Zhejiang Police College, Hangzhou, People’s Republic of China.

Tonkin, M. (2017). The Crime Linkage International Network (C-LINK): Aims, Findings and Impact. Research and impact workshop with the UK National Crime Agency, the Belgian Federal Police, the Dutch National Police, the French National Police, the Swiss National Police and the Norwegian National Police.

Tonkin, M., Lemeire, J., Santtila, P., & Winter, J. (2017). Linking property crime using offender crime scene behaviour. Paper presented at the 27th conference of the European Association of Psychology and Law, Mechelen, Belgium.

Tonkin, M., Woodhams, J., & Burrell, A. (2016). The Crime Linkage International Network (C-LINK): Aims, Findings and Implications. Serious Crime Analysis Section, National Crime Agency.

Tonkin, M. & Woodhams, J. (2016). Detecting versatile offenders through crime scene behaviour. Paper presented at the British Academy conference, Using Behavioural Science to Target Prolific Criminals, London, UK.

Lemeire, J. & Tonkin, M. (2016). Multivariate statistics and their application to crime linkage. Paper presented at the British Academy conference, Using Behavioural Science to Target Prolific Criminals, London, UK.

Tonkin, M., Bennell, C., Pakkanen, T., Salfati, G., Winter, J., & van der Kemp, J. (2016). The C-LINK research projects and findings. Paper presented at the 17th conference of the International Academy of Investigative Psychology, New York, US.

Tonkin, M. (2015). Measuring the “intangible”: Towards a questionnaire measure of social climate in forensic learning disability services. Paper presented at the 2nd national meeting of the Clinical Research Group in Forensic Intellectual and Developmental Disabilities (CRG-FIDD), Norwich, UK.

Tonkin, M. (2014). Linking crimes using offender crime scene behaviour. Invited talk to the Violent Crime Linkage Analysis System (ViCLAS) unit of the Dutch National Police, Zoetermeer, The Netherlands.

Tonkin, M. (2014). Linking crimes using offender crime scene behaviour. Invited talk to the Violent Crime Linkage Analysis System (ViCLAS) unit of the Belgian National Police, Brussels, Belgium.

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