Publications

Gobron, K., R. Hohensinn, X. Loizeau, C.E. Bulgin, C.J. Merchant, E.R. Woolliams, M.G. Cox, W. Dorigo, T. Howard, M. Langsdale, A.C. Povey, M. Ablain, J. Bogusz, A. Gruber, A. Klos & J. Mittaz (2026). A Unified Framework for Trend Uncertainty Assessment in Climate Data Record: Application to Global Mean Sea Level, Surveys in Geophysics. DOI: 10.1007/s10712-025-09922-7

Yildiz, A., Wardman, J., Shaw, R., & Mohanty, S. K. (2025). Global lessons from disaster: rethinking risk and resilience in an age of compound crises. Journal of Risk Research, 1-5. DOI: 10.1080/13669877.2025.2611553  

Benyon, M., Kwatala, N., Laban, T., Kapwata, T., Batini, C., Cai, S., Micklesfield, L.K., Panchal, R., Kunene, S., Zondo, S.B. and Language, B. (2025). Household PM2.5 in a South African urban and rural setting: A comparative analysis using low-cost sensors. Atmospheric Pollution Research, 16(5), p.102459. DOI: 10.1016/j.apr.2025.102459

Pamaong, M.T.P., Yildiz, A., Shaw, R. (2025). Evolution of Disaster Education in the Schools: The Experience of Asia and the Pacific Region. In: Shaw, R., Izumi, T., Djalante, R., Imamura, F. (eds) Two Decades from the Indian Ocean Tsunami. Disaster Risk Reduction. Springer, Singapore. DOI: 10.1007/978-981-96-2669-4_12

Y Alhassan, S Petrovskii (2025) Growth of Oxygen Minimum Zones may indicate approach of global anoxia. Mathematics 2025, 13, 806. DOI: 10.3390/math13050806

Wright, C.Y. et al. (2025) “Assessing the human health risks of indoor PM2.5 exposure in urban and rural households in two provinces of South Africa,” Atmospheric Environment, 343, p. 120996. DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120996

Wali, S.U., Alias, N.B., Usman, A.A. et al. Geostatistical and multivariate analysis of phosphate evolution and its relationship with heavy metals in shallow groundwater in a Semi-Arid Basin. Earth Sci Inform 18, 267 (2025). DOI: 10.1007/s12145-025-01771-7

Sasmito, S.D. et al., incl. Page, S.E. (2025) Half of land use emissions in Southeast Asia can be mitigated through peat swamp forest and mangrove conservation and restoration. Nature Communications, 16, 740. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-55892-0

Holmes, R., Salzmann, U. et al., incl. M. Williams. 2025. Mangrove dynamics and resilience in North Sulawesi, Indonesia, across the Holocene. Ecological Indicators 171, 113231. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113231

Helm, C.W., Carr, A.S. Cawthra, H.C., De Vynck J.C., Dixon, M.G., Gräbe, J-P., Rust, R., Stear, W. (2025). Pleistocene aardvark (Orycteropus afer) burrow traces on South Africa’s Cape coast. Quaternary Research 124, 139-152.

Liu, D., Zhang, C., Ogaya, R., Acil, N., Pugh, T. A. M., Domene, X., Zhang, X., Fang, Y., Yang, X., Essl, F., Dullinger, S., & Peñuelas, J. (2025). World-wide impacts of climate change and nitrogen deposition on vegetation structure, composition, and functioning of shrublands. The New Phytologist. DOI: 10.1111/nph.70235

Saunois, M., Martinez, A., Poulter, B., Zhang, Z., Raymond, P., Regnier, P., Canadell, J., Jackson, R., Patra, P., Bousquet, P. (2025) 'Global methane budget 2000–2020', Earth System Science Data, 17(5), pp. 1873–1958. DOI: 10.5194/essd-17-1873-2025

Harris, S.J., Schwietzke, S., France, J.L. et al. Methane emissions from the Nord Stream subsea pipeline leaks, Nature 637, 1124–1130 (2025). DOI: 10.1038/s41586-024-08396-8

Chen, F., Parker, R., Sembhi, H., Anjum, A., Balzter, H. (2025) 'CELNet: A comprehensive efficient learning network for atmospheric plume identification from remotely sensed methane concentration images', Remote Sensing of Environment, 328, pp. 114828. DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2025.114828

Basell, Laura S., and Enza E. Spinapolice. “Time, the Middle Stone Age and lithic analyses following the Third Science Revolution.” Azania, vol. 59, no. 1, 2024, pp. 140–159. DOI: 10.1080/0067270X.2023.2285167

Yildiz, Ayse, et al. “Effects of disaster education on children’s risk perception and preparedness: A quasi‐experimental longitudinal study.” The Geographical Journal, vol. 190, no. 2, 2024. DOI: 10.1111/geoj.12556

Masters, Lizo E., et al. “Phylogenomic analysis reveals five independently evolved African forage grass clades in the genus Urochloa.” Ann Bot, vol. 133, no. 5–6, 2024, pp. 725–742. DOI: 10.1093/aob/mcae022

Acil, N., Sadler, J. P., Senf, C., Suvanto, S., & Pugh, T. A. M. (2024). Landscape patterns in stand-replacing disturbances across the world’s forests. Nature Sustainability, 8(1), 86–98. DOI: 10.1038/s41893-024-01450-3

Yildiz, A. and Shaw, R. (editor, 2024): Disaster and Climate Risk Education: Insights from Knowledge to Action. Singapore: Springer Nature Singapore. DOI: 10.1007/978-981-97-5987-3

Feng, L., Palmer, P.I., Parker, R.J., Lunt, M.F. and Bösch, H., 2023. Methane emissions are predominantly responsible for record-breaking atmospheric methane growth rates in 2020 and 2021. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 23(8), pp.4863-4880. DOI: 10.5194/acp-23-4863-2023

Waters, C.N., Turner, S.D., Zalasiewicz, J. and Head, M.J., 2023. Candidate sites and other reference sections for the Global boundary Stratotype Section and Point of the Anthropocene series. The Anthropocene Review, 10(1), pp.3-24. DOI: 10.1177/205301962211364

Chmutina K., Von Meding J., Lizarralde G., and Bosher L.S. (2023), ‘Standardised indicators for ‘resilient cities’: The folly of devising a technical solution to a political problem’, International Journal of Disaster Resilience in the Built Environment, April 2023. DOI: 10.1108/ijdrbe-10-2022-0099

Hill B., Liang Q., Bosher L.S., Chen H. and A. Nicholson, (2023), ‘A systematic review of Natural Flood Management modelling; approaches, limitations, and potential solutions’, Journal of Flood Risk Management. DOI:10.1111/jfr3.12899

Balzter, B., Macul, M., Delaney, B., Tansey, K., Espirito-Santo, F., Ofoegbu, C., Petrovskii, S., Forchtner, B., Nicholes, N., Payo, E., Heslop-Harrison, P., Burns, M., Basell, L., Egberts, E., Stockley, E., Desorgher, M., Upton, C., Whelan, M. and Yildiz, A. (2023) 'Loss and Damage from Climate Change: Knowledge Gaps and Interdisciplinary Approaches', Sustainability 15, DOI: 10.3390/su151511864

Maltby, J. and Hall, S.S. (2022). Less is more. Discovering the latent factors of trait resilience. Journal of Research in Personality, 47. 104193

Ray-Bennett, N.S. Clarke, K. and Mendez, D. (2022) Sendai Framework’s Global Targets A and B: Opinions from the Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction’s Ignite Stage 2019. International Journal for Disaster Risk Science (in press)

Roberts, J.F., Mwangi, R., Mukabi, F., Njui, J., Nzioka, K., Ndambiri, J.K., Bispo, P.C., Espirito-Santo, F.D.B., Gou, Y., Johnson, S.C.M., Louis,  V., Pacheco-Pascagaza, A.M., Rodriguez-Veiga, P., Tansey, K., Upton, C., Robb, C. and Balzter, H. (2022): Pyeo: A Python package for near-real-time forest cover change detection from Earth observation using machine learning, Computers and Geosciences, 105192, DOI: 10.1016/j.cageo.2022.105192

Cole B., Smith G., de la Barreda-Bautista B., Hamer A., Payne M., Codd T., Johnson S.C.M., Chan L.Y. and Balzter H. (2022): Dynamic landscapes in the UK driven by pressures from energy production and forestry – Results of the CORINE Land Cover map 2018. Land 11(2):192. DOI:/10.3390/land11020192

Pacheco-Pascagaza, A.M., Gou, Y., Louis, V., Roberts, J.F., Rodríguez-Veiga, P., da Conceição Bispo, P., Espírito-Santo, F.,D.B., Robb, C., Upton, C., Galindo, G., Cabrera, E., Pachón, I., Castillo, M.A., Carrillo, O., Meneses, C., Iñiguez, M. and Balzter, H. (2022): Near-real-time change detection system using Sentinel-2 and machine learning: a test for Mexican and Colombian forests. Remote Sensing 14(3):707. DOI:10.3390/rs14030707

Modugno, S., Johnson, S.C.M., Borrelli, P., Alam, E., Bezak, N. and Balzter, H. (2022): Analysis of human exposure to landslides with a GIS multiscale approach. Natural Hazards. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-05186-7

Crezee, B., Dargie, G., Ewango, C., Mitchard, E., Emba, O.B., Kanyama, J.T., Bola, P., Ndjango. J-B., Girkin, N., Bocko, Y., Ifo, S., Hubau, W., Seidensticker, D., Batumike, R., Imani, G., Cuní-Sanchez, A., Kiahtipes, C., Lebamba, J., Wotzka, H-P., Bean, H., Baker, T., Baird, A., Boom, A., Morris, P., Page, S., Lawson, I. and Lewis, S. (2022) Mapping peat thickness and carbon stocks of the central Congo Basin using field data. Nature Geoscience. DOI:10.1038/s41561-022-00966-7

Freeman, B.W.J., Evans, C.D., Musarika, S., Morrison, R., Newman, T.R., Page, S.E., Wiggs, G. F.S., Bell, N.G.A., Wen, Y., Chadwick, D.R. and Jones, D.L. (in revision) Responsible agriculture on mid-latitude peatlands must adapt to their wetland character. Global Change Biology, 28, 3795-3811. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16152

Page, S.E., Mishra, S., Agus, F., Anshari, G., Dargie, G., Evers, S., Jauhiainen, J., Jaya, A., Jovani-Sancho, A.J., Lauren, A., Sjogersten, S., Suspense, I.A., Wijedasa, L.S. and Evans, C.D. (2022) Anthropogenic impacts on lowland tropical peatland biogeochemistry. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 3, 426–443. DOI:10.1038/s43017-022-00289-6

Qui, C.,  Ciais, P.,  Zhu, D., Guenet, B., Chang, J., Chaudhary, N., Kleinen, T., L, X., Müller, J., Xi, Y., Zhang, W., Ballantyne, A., Brewer, S.C., Brovkin, V., Charman, D.J., Gustafson, A., Gallego-Sala, A.V., Gasser, T., Holden, J., Joos, F., Kwon, M.J., Lauerwald, R., Miller, P.A., Peng, S., Page, S.E., Smith, B., Stocker, B.D., Sannel, A.B.K., Salmon, E., Schurgers, G., Shurpali, N.J., Wårlind, D., Westermann, S. (2022) A strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands. One Earth. DOI:10.1016/j.oneear.2021.12.008

Alam, E. and Ray-Bennett, N.S. (2021) Disaster Risk Governance of Local Level Administration in Rangamati, Bangladesh. International Journal for Disaster Risk Reduction, 59(2021): 1-13. DOI:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102220

Ray-Bennett, N.S., Corsel, D., Goswami, N. and Bhuiyan, M. (2021) ‘RHCC Intervention: Strengthening the delivery and coverage of sexual and reproductive health care during floods in Bangladesh’ International Journal of Human Rights in Healthcare, 14(4): 327-347. DOI:10.1108/IJHRH-11-2020-0098

Rayner, M., Balzter, H., Jones, L., Whelan, M. and Stoate, C. (2021): Effects of improved land-cover mapping on predicted ecosystem service outcomes in a lowland river catchment. Ecological Indicators 133, 108463, DOI:10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108463

Zimbres, B., Rodríguez-Veiga, P., Shimbo, J.Z., da Conceição Bispo, P., Balzter, H., Bustamante, M., Roitman, I., Haidar, R., Miranda, S., Gomes, L., Alvim Carvalho, F., Lenza, E., Maracahipes-Santos, L., Abadia, A.C., do Prado Júnior, J.A., Mendonça Machado, E.L., Dias Gonzaga, A.P., de Castro Nunes Santos Terra, M., Marcio de Mello, J., Soares Scolforo, J.R., Rodrigues Pinto, J.R. and Alencar, A. (2021): Mapping the stock and spatial distribution of aboveground woody biomass in the native vegetation of the Brazilian Cerrado biome, Forest Ecology and Management, 499, 119615, DOI:10.1016/j.foreco.2021.119615

Worrall, F., Morrison, R., Evans, C., Kaduk, J., Page, S., Cummings, A., Rayment, M. and Kettridge, N. (2021) Are peatlands in different states with respect to their thermodynamic behaviour? A simple test of peatland energy and entropy budgets. Hydrological Processes. DOI:10.1002/hyp.14431

Apers, S., De Lannoy, G.J.M., Baird, A.J., Cobb, A.R., Dargie, G.C., del Aguila Pasquel, J., Gruber, A., Hastie, A., Hidayat, H., Hirano, T., Hoyt, A.M., Jovani-Sancho, A.J., Katimon, A., Kurnain, A., Koster, R.D., Lampela, M., Mahanama, S.P.P., Melling, L., Page, S.E., Reichle, R.H., Taufik, M., Vanderborght, J. and Bechtold, M. (2021) Tropical peatland hydrology simulated with a global land surface model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. Pre-print:  DOI:10.1002/essoar.10507826.1

Deshmukh, C.S., Julius, D., Desai, A.R., Page, S.E., Agus, F., Astiani, D., Sabiham, S., Nardi, Susanto, A.P., Nurholis, Hendrizal, M., Asyhari, A., Kurnianto, S., Suardiwerianto, Y. and Evans, C.D. (2021) Conservation slows down emission increase from a tropical peatland in Indonesia. Nature Geoscience. DOI: 10.1038/s41561-021-00785-2

Matysek, M., Leake, J., Banwart, S., Johnson, I., Page, S., Kaduk, J., Smalley, A., Cumming, A., and Zona, D. (2021) Optimizing fen peatland water-table depth for romaine lettuce growth to reduce peat wastage under future climate warming. Soil Use and Management, 38, 341-354. DOI: 10.1111/sum.12729

Mishra, S., Page, S.E., Cobb, A., Sancho, J.J., Huay, J.L.S., Sjogersten, S., Jaya, A., Aswandi and Wardle, D.A. (2021) Degradation of Southeast Asian tropical peatlands and integrated strategies for their better management and restoration. Journal of Applied Ecology. DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.13905

Evans, C.D., Peacock, M., Baird, A.J., Artz, R., Brown, E., Burden, A., Callaghan, N., Chapman, P.J., Cooper, H. M., Coyle, M., Cumming, A., Dixon, S., Helfter, C., Heppell, C., Holden, J., Gauci, V., Grayson, R.P., Jones, D., Kaduk, J., Levy, P., Matthews, R., McNamara, N., Misselbrook, T., Oakley, S., Page, S., Rayment, M., Ridley, L.M., Stanley, K., Williamson, J., Worrall, F., Morrison, R. (2021) Overriding influence of water table on the peatland greenhouse gas balance. Nature, 593 (7860), 548-552

Rodríguez-Veiga, P., Carreiras, J., Smallman, T.L., Exbrayat, J.-F., Ndambiri, J., Mutwiri, F., Nyasaka, D., Quegan, S., Williams, M. and Balzter, H. (2020): Carbon Stocks and Fluxes in Kenyan Forests and Wooded Grasslands Derived from Earth Observation and Model-Data Fusion. Remote Sensing 12, 2380. DOI:10.3390/rs12152380

Hamisu, I., Balzter, H. and Kaduk, J. (2020): Impacts of Climate Change Scenarios on Fasciola gigantica Risk in Semi-arid West Africa: A Case Study of Sokoto State, Nigeria. South Asian Journal of Parasitology, 4(1), 11-25.